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Trent forecast short term

Asked by CNI Follower · 3 months ago · 13-12-2025

Short term, Trent Ltd (NSE: TRENT) is in a weak technical phase with a downward-to-sideways bias, despite strong long-term business commentary from brokerages.

1. Current technical setup (as of 12 Dec 2025 data)

- Price is around ₹4,000 (last close about ₹4,045) and has nearly halved from its 52‑week / record high near ₹8,300. (businesstoday.in)

- It is trading below all key moving averages (5, 10, 20, 50, 100, 150, 200‑DMA), which indicates a firmly established downtrend. (businesstoday.in)

- Recent 52‑week low is near ₹3,930, showing that every bounce is being sold into. (businesstoday.in)

- RSI (14) is around 27 (oversold zone), with several momentum oscillators showing “buy/oversold” but the overall technical verdict on the stock is still “Sell” because price is below all major averages. (tipranks.com)

2. Short‑term (next few weeks) directional bias

- Primary bias: Weak / corrective. Trend remains down, so short‑term rallies are likely to face supply.

- Volatility risk: After a fall of ~50% from the peak and a series of negative reactions to quarterly updates and analyst downgrades through 2025, sharp 5–10% counter‑trend moves (short‑covering bounces) are possible, but the structure is still corrective. (financialexpress.com)

3. Important short‑term zones (approximate, not intraday levels)

These are technical reference zones, not recommendations:

- Support zone:

- ₹3,900–4,000: recent 52‑week low / psychological round number. A clean breakdown and sustained trade below this band often signals continuation of the downtrend. (businesstoday.in)

- Resistance / supply zones:

- ₹4,250–4,500: near the 20‑DMA and 50‑DMA cluster; first major resistance area.

- ₹5,000–4,600+: region of some recent brokerage targets and higher moving averages; likely to invite heavy profit‑taking unless accompanied by strong volumes and positive news. (tipranks.com)

4. How traders typically look at this kind of setup (example approach)

_(Illustrative only, not advice)_

- In a stock that is:

- Below all key DMAs,

- Recently made a new 52‑week low, and

- Has oversold momentum indicators,

short‑term traders often:

- Treat bounces into the 20‑DMA / 50‑DMA (roughly ₹4,250–4,500 area right now) as potential sell‑on‑rise zones until price closes and sustains above them with strong volume. (tipranks.com)

- Watch the ₹3,900–4,000 support zone: a decisive breakdown can attract momentum shorts; a strong reversal pattern from this band with high volume can sometimes trigger a short‑covering rally.

5. Fundamental / brokerage backdrop (why stock might stabilise later, but not necessarily immediately)

- Despite the 2025 correction (fall of ~30%+ during the year) brokerages like Motilal Oswal and Bernstein have maintained positive long‑term stances with targets significantly above current levels, citing store expansion (Westside, Zudio), new categories and long‑term growth visibility. (financialexpress.com)

- However, growth from recent quarters has moderated versus the very strong base, and some global brokers have cut targets and ratings, which is weighing on the short‑term sentiment and valuation. (financialexpress.com)

6. Practical takeaway for the short term

- The trend is still down and the stock is technically weak in the near term.

- Short‑term trading on the long side is higher risk unless:

- The price reclaims at least the 20‑DMA / 50‑DMA zone (roughly above ₹4,250–4,500) with strong volume, and

- There is a clear bullish pattern or strong positive news.

- Until then, the market is likely to treat it as a high‑beta, trend‑down name: bounces are vulnerable, and any fresh negative news/earnings miss can push it to new lows.

Live intraday data is not directly accessible here, so all levels/commentary are based on end‑of‑day and recent published data up to 12–13 December 2025 and should be cross‑checked on your trading terminal before taking any position.

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